Before anyone has a panic attack or anything...
Figures for all three serious parties from the last few ICM polls (including non ICM/Grauniad ones and the new one)...
Labour: 35, 32, 34, 32, 35, 35, 31
Tories: 35, 34, 38, 37, 36, 39, 40
LDems: 21, 24, 20, 21, 18, 17, 22
The margin of error is around about 3% or maybe 4%.
Think for a minute.
Labour: 35, 32, 34, 32, 35, 35, 31
Tories: 35, 34, 38, 37, 36, 39, 40
LDems: 21, 24, 20, 21, 18, 17, 22
The margin of error is around about 3% or maybe 4%.
Think for a minute.

3 Comments:
Just look at all the Tories having Political "Wet" Dreams over this poll.
Good post, but being pessimistic, it's worth bearing in mind that ICM probably under-estimate the Tory lead. More analysis here:
http://thedaily.wordpress.com/2006/08/23/recent-polls/
Good post, but being pessimistic, it's worth bearing in mind that ICM probably under-estimate the Tory lead. More analysis here:
http://thedaily.wordpress.com/2006/08/23/recent-polls/
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